SR 26-2 ongoing-monitoring backtest: compares a list of period predicted-vs-actual outcomes for a model, computes per-period absolute percent error and mean/max error, and flags periods breaching your declared error tolerance. Returns a pass/fail outcome status against your declared maximum breach rate. Second node in the model-passport lifecycle — feeds into validation status (ART-452).
Copy this paragraph into Claude, OpenClaw, or any MCP-aware agent to run this exact tool, with this sample, and verify the artifact.
Run the AINumbers MCP tool `compare_model_outcome_analysis`. Task: SR 26-2 ongoing-monitoring backtest: compares a list of period predicted-vs-actual model outcomes, computes per-period absolute percent error, mean/max absolute percent error, and flags periods breaching a caller-declared error tolerance.
Synthetic sample input (policy_parameters): {"observations":[{"period_label":"Q1","predicted":1000,"actual":1020},{"period_label":"Q2","predicted":1000,"actual":1150},{"period_label":"Q3","predicted":1000,"actual":980},{"period_label":"Q4","predicted":1000,"actual":1050}],"error_threshold_pct":10,"max_breach_rate_pct":20}
Verify before trusting: call `verify_execution_hash` on mcp.ainumbers.co (https://mcp.ainumbers.co/mcp) with the returned execution_hash.
Return the ledger link https://ledger.ainumbers.co/ so a human can re-verify without contacting us.
PII rule: All inputs are processed locally in your browser. No data is transmitted. Do not enter real personal data — use synthetic or anonymised inputs only.
Open the tool with the sample prefilled: https://ainumbers.co/chaingraph/art-451-model-outcome-analysis.html#p=v1.H4sIAAAAAAAA_wEXAej-eyJvYnNlcnZhdGlvbnMiOlt7InBlcmlvZF9sYWJlbCI6IlExIiwicHJlZGljdGVkIjoxMDAwLCJhY3R1YWwiOjEwMjB9LHsicGVyaW9kX2xhYmVsIjoiUTIiLCJwcmVkaWN0ZWQiOjEwMDAsImFjdHVhbCI6MTE1MH0seyJwZXJpb2RfbGFiZWwiOiJRMyIsInByZWRpY3RlZCI6MTAwMCwiYWN0dWFsIjo5ODB9LHsicGVyaW9kX2xhYmVsIjoiUTQiLCJwcmVkaWN0ZWQiOjEwMDAsImFjdHVhbCI6MTA1MH1dLCJlcnJvcl90aHJlc2hvbGRfcGN0IjoxMCwibWF4X2JyZWFjaF9yYXRlX3BjdCI6MjB98IbTTBcBAAA