{
  "tool_id": "art-211-prediction-market-analyzer",
  "kernel_id": "art-211-prediction-market-analyzer",
  "display_name": "Prediction Market Analyzer",
  "tool_version": "1.0.0",
  "mandate_type": "event_market_pnl",
  "purpose": "Computes prediction market PnL, implied probability, break-even, no-vig fair value, expected value, Kelly stake, and odds conversion for binary and scalar contracts. Covers Polymarket, Kalshi, CME Event, and Robinhood. Includes Brier and log-score forecast accuracy metrics. Not financial advice.",
  "control_description": "Computes prediction market PnL, implied probability, break-even, no-vig fair value, expected value, Kelly stake, and odds conversion for binary and scalar contracts. Covers Polymarket, Kalshi, CME Event, and Robinhood. Includes Brier and log-score forecast accuracy metrics. Not financial advice.",
  "declared_inputs": [],
  "declared_outputs": [
    "art-212-prediction-market-arbitrage"
  ],
  "kernel_digest": "sha256:3db60f420ca07f2d35c4aa2707c39a13b6e04399b65f0924f3e1c71d1b619885",
  "trust_label": "independently verified -- zkVM execution proof (risc0/groth16-bn254)",
  "data_vintage": "2026-07-10",
  "last_validated": "2026-07-10",
  "conformance_fixtures_vendored": true,
  "compute_proof_ready": "ready",
  "wave": 36,
  "source_url": "https://ainumbers.co/chaingraph/art-211-prediction-market-analyzer.html",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-25T20:02:55.601Z"
}